PRESENT [How are things today? How is the current population distributed among the stages.]
Today, 65% of us live in the relative freedom of democracy, compared to 12% a century ago. Today, thanks to better nutrition and medicine, the people in the world live 20 to 30 years longer than they did a half century ago. Today, despite concerns of unequal income distribution, 50% fewer of us (1 in 6) live in extreme poverty (less than a dollar a day) as we did only 20 years ago.
In this century, we trade goods and services with China, Russia, Germany, and Japan — in the last century we traded bombs and bullets. In this century, the workers in Asia are starting to get the same opportunities as those in Europe and America did in the last. Television, trade, and the internet are tying the world together — forcing us to see all the worlds’ people as “human”
Only fifty years ago, a black or a female President or Secretary of State was inconceivable and a million Indians lost in famine was second page news. Today, Barack is President, Hillary runs the State Department, and a bright young woman in Delhi guides me through computer labyrinths rather than hauling water from the village well.
The shock of 9-11 and Iraq has distracted us from the realization that many many more folks on this planet are getting the right to pursue happiness — as guaranteed by the US constitution. Far from perfect, but far better than the poverty, tyranny, and early death of a century ago.
CURRENT STAGE DEVELOPMENT. To develop to a new stage, a culture needs a substantial and viable group of adults to have developed to the new stage. (See story of Joey in sidebar).
An individual child’s consciousnessdevelops from the pre-verbal sensori-motor stage to the AE MagicStage at about 3 (verbal, pre-conventional Piaget’s intuitive-conceptual-preoperational) ; then to the AE Mythic Stage at about 7 (conventional, Rule-Role, Piaget’s concrete operational); then to the AE Rational Stage at about 12 (post-conventional, Piaget’s formal operational logic).
At the Rational Stage we can view things from other perspectives and can compare and question the absolute truths (rules/roles) of our own and other Mythic views. This can lead to scientific precision and impartial world-centric judgments of fairness and care. In the more mature Pluralistic Rational Stage we can view things from even more perspectives and by Integral Rational Stage we start to integrate and value all the stages.
The stage evolution for cultures is even more complex. While Plato and his friends certainly used rational thought, they were a tiny fraction of that population, and the cultural level of technology and economics at that time could not sustain a large number at the rational level.
That threshold only came two millennia later when the emerging conscious developments in Europe and their persistent (and bloody) questioning of the old order of church and state, rules and roles, led to the reformation, the printing press, the scientific method, commerce and eventually the industrial and democratic revolutions. This increased economic incomes — emancipating slaves, peasants and women from their assigned lot in life. [Sadly, the early rational stage (like any rebellious adolescent) identified the spiritual with the Church — and tossed out the spiritual baby with the religious bathwater — a legacy we are still struggling with today.]
Table 2. CURRENT STAGE DEVELOPMENT (see sidebar). Shows the distribution of population and power among the stages (based on 2000 data).
While the Rational Stage held 71% of the social power by 2000, only 31% of the world adult population had reached that level — mostly in the developed world. Magic thinking is still evident in developing tribal countries or inner city gangs. Mythic thinking is still strong in former communist countries or fundamentalist Islam or Christian areas.
Pluralistic, the more mature Rational Stage, started first by infiltrating universities and governments. A tiny minority in 1950, by 2000 they held some 15% of the power (more in Europe).
Integral, the most mature Rational Stage, is now starting to make an appearance. While only 1% of the population and 6% of the power in 2000, they could easily double every 10 or 15 years as the world economy grows. At that rate, it is possible that Integral thinking could hold a majority of world power by 2050, when the whole world’s per-capita incomes reach current US or European levels.